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Hamburg (pte022/23.05.2005/11:33) - Will global warming affect currently popular tourist resorts? This is the question that a team of researchers have recently answered. According to Jacqueline Hamilton at the University of Hamburg in Germany http://www.uni-hamburg.de/Wiss/FB/15/Sustainability/hamilton.html it will not.
An alteration in temperatures in both ski resorts and along the ocean shores will not provide enough grounds for tourists to go elsewhere. Influential factors here are the impact of economic development and population growth.
Hamilton and her team put together numbers and figures using a computer model, assessing tourism in 207 countries in 20 years' time. The analysis took into account factors such as predicted population growth, economic development and the effects of global warming as predicted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change http://www.ipcc.ch/ , which did not include the changing of sea levels.
Changes noted included the development of non-first-world places, such as the Maldives and Sri Lanka, whose tourist industries are predicted to grow - tourism could increase here by 600 per cent in the 30 years from the last decade until 2025.
'Colder' countries that might benefit from a 1 degree rise in are the Russian Federation and Canada.
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